Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 20Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
The Footlab model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Orgryte IS. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF?
Hammarby FF starts as the favourite with a 265-point Elo edge (1,955 vs 1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orgryte IS have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Hammarby FF have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Halmstad(home) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 1-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AIK Stockholm(home) | 3-4 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AIK Stockholm(away) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gais(home) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kalmar FF(away) | 4-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Orgryte IS win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hammarby FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hammarby FF 8-1 Orgryte IS | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Hammarby FF vs Orgryte IS on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Orgryte IS score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hammarby FF score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orgryte IS | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Hammarby FF | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orgryte IS sit 15th in Allsvenskan (14 points from 18 matches) and Hammarby FF sit 2nd (33 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hammarby FF | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 15 | 33 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 41 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF?
- The Footlab model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Orgryte IS.
- Where and when is Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF played?
- Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF is played on September 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gamla Ullevi, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.