Vasteras SK FK vs Sirius: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 20Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Hitachi Energy Arena, Västerås
The Footlab model makes Sirius the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Vasteras SK FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vasteras SK FK vs Sirius?
Sirius starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,940 vs 1,798).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vasteras SK FK have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sirius have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kalmar FF(home) | 0-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Enköping(away) | 2-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(away) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Djurgardens IF(home) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Djurgardens IF(away) | 0-6 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 3-4 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(home) | 2-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Halmstad(away) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 4-1 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Vasteras SK FK win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Sirius win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sirius 4-1 Vasteras SK FK | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Vasteras SK FK 1-2 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| May 20, 2024 | Sirius 0-0 Vasteras SK FK | Allsvenskan |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Sirius 1-3 Vasteras SK FK | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Sirius 0-3 Vasteras SK FK | Svenska Cupen |
Last archived meeting: Sirius vs Vasteras SK FK on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vasteras SK FK score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sirius score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasteras SK FK | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Sirius | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vasteras SK FK sit 8th in Allsvenskan (26 points from 18 matches) and Sirius sit 1st (42 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 26 | 42 |
| 8 | Vasteras SK FK | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 32 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vasteras SK FK vs Sirius?
- The Footlab model makes Sirius the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Vasteras SK FK.
- Where and when is Vasteras SK FK vs Sirius played?
- Vasteras SK FK vs Sirius is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Hitachi Energy Arena, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.