Oriku vs Besa Kavajë: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Fusha Sportive Orikum, Orikum
The Footlab AI model makes Besa Kavajë the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Oriku. The most likely score is 1-1. If Besa Kavajë wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,834 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oriku vs Besa Kavajë?
Besa Kavajë starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,651 vs 1,437).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oriku vs Besa Kavajë
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oriku
4-3-3- CC. Nwatsock
- JJ. Raboshta
- RR. Shkreli
- LLucas Oliveira
- EE. Llojaj
- WWesley Pereira
- AAslambek Bunkhoev
- SS. Zholi
- XXhuljano Buxhelaj
- JJ. Gjinaj
- AA. Bunkhoev
Besa Kavajë
4-3-3- 13Nurudeen Abdulai
- 4Ersi Kapo
- 10Rodrigo Migone
- 23E. Spahiu
- 22Redon Danaj
- 7F. Beqja
- 33Bianor
- 26William Cordeiro
- 3K. Ayivi
- 30Rubin Hebeja
- 50M. Abdullahu
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 09:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oriku have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Besa Kavajë have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Flamurtari(home) | 1-4 | 1st Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kastrioti Krujë(away) | 0-2 | 1st Division |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Butrinti Sarandë(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Burreli(home) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Besa Kavajë(away) | 0-5 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | FK Kukesi(away) | 0-2 | 1st Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë(home) | 2-0 | 1st Division |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Devolli(home) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Besëlidhja Lezhë(away) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oriku(home) | 5-0 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Oriku wins, 0 draws, 3 Besa Kavajë wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Besa Kavajë 5-0 Oriku | 1st Division |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Besa Kavajë 0-1 Oriku | 1st Division |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Oriku 0-1 Besa Kavajë | 1st Division |
| Dec 8, 2019 | Besa Kavajë 2-0 Oriku | 1st Division |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Oriku 2-1 Besa Kavajë | 1st Division |
| May 11, 2019 | Besa Kavajë 2-3 Oriku | 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Oriku score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Besa Kavajë score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oriku | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Besa Kavajë | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oriku sit 12th in 1st Division (0 points from 6 matches) and Besa Kavajë sit 2nd (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Besa Kavajë | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Oriku | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
A question about Oriku vs Besa Kavajë?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oriku vs Besa Kavajë?
- The Footlab AI model makes Besa Kavajë the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Oriku.
- Where and when is Oriku vs Besa Kavajë played?
- Oriku vs Besa Kavajë is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Fusha Sportive Orikum, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.