Besa Kavajë vs Besëlidhja Lezhë: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Luz i Vogël, Luz i Vogël
The Footlab model makes Besa Kavajë the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Besëlidhja Lezhë. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Besa Kavajë vs Besëlidhja Lezhë?
Besa Kavajë starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (1,641 vs 1,442).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Besa Kavajë have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Besëlidhja Lezhë have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | FK Kukesi(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 11, 2026 | Pogradeci(away) | 0-1 | Superliga |
| May 7, 2026 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë(away) | 2-0 | Superliga |
| May 3, 2026 | FK Kukesi(away) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(home) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Apolonia Fier(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Gramshi(home) | 2-0 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Luzi 2008(away) | 1-3 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Sopoti Librazhd(home) | 1-1 | 2nd Division - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Besa Kavajë win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Besëlidhja Lezhë win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2023 | Besa Kavajë 2-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1st Division |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 2-1 Besa Kavajë | 1st Division |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 2-1 Besa Kavajë | 1st Division |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Besa Kavajë 2-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1st Division |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Besa Kavajë 1-4 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1st Division |
| Sep 23, 2017 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 2-0 Besa Kavajë | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Besa Kavajë vs Besëlidhja Lezhë on Feb 12, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Besa Kavajë score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Besëlidhja Lezhë score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besa Kavajë | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Besa Kavajë | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41 | 43 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Besa Kavajë vs Besëlidhja Lezhë?
- The Footlab model makes Besa Kavajë the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Besëlidhja Lezhë.
- Where and when is Besa Kavajë vs Besëlidhja Lezhë played?
- Besa Kavajë vs Besëlidhja Lezhë is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Luz i Vogël, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.