Orkla vs Kvik Trondheim: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 2Regular Season - 23Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Orkla Sparebank Stadion, Fannrem
The Footlab model makes Orkla the favourite at 40%, against 21% for a draw and 39% for Kvik Trondheim. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orkla vs Kvik Trondheim?
Kvik Trondheim starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,533 vs 1,433).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orkla have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Kvik Trondheim have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spjelkavik(home) | 2-5 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Melhus(away) | 3-8 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Rosenborg II(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aalesund II(away) | 2-4 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Molde II(home) | 3-5 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Aalesund II(home) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Molde II(away) | 3-6 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Melhus(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Volda(home) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Herd(home) | 1-5 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Orkla win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kvik Trondheim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Kvik Trondheim 1-1 Orkla | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kvik Trondheim vs Orkla on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Orkla score 1.8 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kvik Trondheim score 1.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orkla | 1.8 | 3.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Kvik Trondheim | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orkla sit 10th in 3. Division - Girone 2 (11 points from 9 matches) and Kvik Trondheim sit 3rd (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kvik Trondheim | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 16 |
| 9 | Kvik Trondheim | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 36 | 21 |
| 10 | Orkla | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
| 14 | Orkla | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 47 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orkla vs Kvik Trondheim?
- The Footlab model makes Orkla the favourite at 40%, against 21% for a draw and 39% for Kvik Trondheim.
- Where and when is Orkla vs Kvik Trondheim played?
- Orkla vs Kvik Trondheim is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Orkla Sparebank Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.