Strindheim vs Orkla: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 2Regular Season - 24Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Leangen Bolig Arena, Trondheim
The Footlab model makes Strindheim the favourite at 76%, against 13% for a draw and 11% for Orkla. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Strindheim vs Orkla?
Strindheim starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,673 vs 1,433).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strindheim have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Orkla have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Levanger(home) | 0-8 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NTNUI(home) | 4-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spjelkavik(away) | 4-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Aalesund II(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rosenborg II(away) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spjelkavik(home) | 2-5 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Melhus(away) | 3-8 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Rosenborg II(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aalesund II(away) | 2-4 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Molde II(home) | 3-5 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Strindheim win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Orkla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Orkla 2-1 Strindheim | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Strindheim 1-0 Orkla | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Orkla 3-6 Strindheim | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Orkla 3-3 Strindheim | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jun 18, 2022 | Strindheim 6-0 Orkla | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Orkla 0-4 Strindheim | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Strindheim score 2.6 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Orkla score 1.8 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strindheim | 2.6 | 2.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Orkla | 1.8 | 3.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Strindheim sit 5th in 3. Division - Girone 2 (14 points from 9 matches) and Orkla sit 10th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Strindheim | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 41 | 27 | 30 |
| 5 | Strindheim | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 14 |
| 10 | Orkla | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
| 14 | Orkla | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 47 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Strindheim vs Orkla?
- The Footlab model makes Strindheim the favourite at 76%, against 13% for a draw and 11% for Orkla.
- Where and when is Strindheim vs Orkla played?
- Strindheim vs Orkla is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Leangen Bolig Arena, in the 3. Division - Girone 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.