Orlando Pirates vs Polokwane City: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC)Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg, GA
The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 74%, against 18% for a draw and 7% for Polokwane City. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orlando Pirates vs Polokwane City?
Orlando Pirates is a heavy favourite: 2,026 Elo points against 1,725, a 301-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orlando Pirates have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Polokwane City have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 3-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Amazulu(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Durban City(home) | 2-1 | 8 Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stellenbosch(home) | 3-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 2-3 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Richards Bay(away) | 2-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Orlando Pirates win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Polokwane City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Polokwane City 1-2 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Orlando Pirates 1-0 Polokwane City | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Orlando Pirates 2-0 Polokwane City | 8 Cup |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Polokwane City 0-1 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Orlando Pirates 3-0 Polokwane City | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Polokwane City 0-1 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Polokwane City vs Orlando Pirates on Mar 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Orlando Pirates score 1.6 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Polokwane City score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pirates | 1.6 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Polokwane City | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orlando Pirates sit 1st in Premier Soccer League (10 points from 4 matches) and Polokwane City sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orlando Pirates | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Polokwane City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orlando Pirates vs Polokwane City?
- The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 74%, against 18% for a draw and 7% for Polokwane City.
- Where and when is Orlando Pirates vs Polokwane City played?
- Orlando Pirates vs Polokwane City is played on December 19, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC) at Orlando Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.