Stellenbosch vs Mamelodi Sundowns: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Danie Craven Stadium, Stellenbosch
The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Stellenbosch. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stellenbosch vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Mamelodi Sundowns is a heavy favourite: 2,090 Elo points against 1,783, a 307-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stellenbosch vs Mamelodi Sundowns
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stellenbosch
4-4-2- 11Q. Plaatjies
- 14S. Kwayiba
- 28L. Matlou
- 37T. Lebitso
- 10A. Du Preez
- 19G. Palace
- 4L. Vena
- 27T. Mashego
- 26S. Nkwali
- 21G. Taunyana
- 17S. Stephens
Mamelodi Sundowns
4-2-3-1- 13I. Rayners
- 4T. Mokoena
- 17T. Matthews
- 11M. Allende
- 33C. Mailula
- 38S. Mthanti
- 3K. Ndamane
- 42Malibongwe Khoza
- 22T. Matuludi
- 23F. Basadien
- 30R. Williams
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stellenbosch have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Mamelodi Sundowns have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kruger United(away) | 1-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Durban City(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Golden Arrows(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Richards Bay(away) | 4-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(away) | 2-0 | 8 Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 2-1 | FIFA Intercontinental Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Siwelele(home) | 3-0 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stellenbosch wins, 1 draw, 3 Mamelodi Sundowns wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 Stellenbosch | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Stellenbosch 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
| May 11, 2025 | Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 Stellenbosch | Premier Soccer League |
| Dec 18, 2024 | Stellenbosch 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Stellenbosch 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns | 8 Cup |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Mamelodi Sundowns 0-1 Stellenbosch | 8 Cup |
Last archived meeting: Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stellenbosch on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stellenbosch score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mamelodi Sundowns score 2.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stellenbosch | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 2.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stellenbosch sit 7th in Premier Soccer League (10 points from 8 matches) and Mamelodi Sundowns sit 1st (23 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 8 | 23 |
| 7 | Stellenbosch | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
A question about Stellenbosch vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stellenbosch vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Stellenbosch.
- Where and when is Stellenbosch vs Mamelodi Sundowns played?
- Stellenbosch vs Mamelodi Sundowns is played on December 18, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Danie Craven Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.