Orsha vs Smorgon: result 5-1 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 20Kick-off on September 25, 2016 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Haradski, Orsha
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What was the result of Orsha vs Smorgon?
Orsha won 5-1 on September 25, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orsha have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Smorgon have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2016 | Torpedo Minsk(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Smolevichi-Sti(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 3, 2016 | Zorka-BDU(away) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 27, 2016 | Slonim(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Lida(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2016 | Oshmyany(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Lokomotiv Gomel(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Baranovichi(home) | 4-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Torpedo Minsk(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Smolevichi-Sti(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Orsha win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Smorgon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2016 | Smorgon 3-0 Orsha | 1. Division |
| Sep 6, 2015 | Orsha 1-1 Smorgon | 1. Division |
| May 17, 2015 | Smorgon 6-0 Orsha | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Orsha score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Smorgon score 1.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orsha | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Smorgon | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orsha sit 15th in 1. Division (22 points from 20 matches) and Smorgon sit 14th (23 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Orsha | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 11 |
| 14 | Smorgon | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 23 |
| 15 | Orsha | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 35 | 22 |
| 16 | Smorgon | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy