Ospitaletto vs Arzignano Valchiampo: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 3Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Ospitaletto, Ospitaletto
The Footlab model makes Ospitaletto the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Arzignano Valchiampo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ospitaletto vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Ospitaletto (1,713) and Arzignano Valchiampo (1,783).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ospitaletto have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Arzignano Valchiampo have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lumezzane(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Trento(away) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rovato Vertovese(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Padova(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Novara(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Albinoleffe(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 3, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Ospitaletto win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Arzignano Valchiampo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo 1-2 Ospitaletto | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Ospitaletto 2-1 Arzignano Valchiampo | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Arzignano Valchiampo vs Ospitaletto on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ospitaletto score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arzignano Valchiampo score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ospitaletto | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Arzignano Valchiampo | 1.2 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ospitaletto sit 4th in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Arzignano Valchiampo sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ospitaletto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ospitaletto vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
- The Footlab model makes Ospitaletto the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Arzignano Valchiampo.
- Where and when is Ospitaletto vs Arzignano Valchiampo played?
- Ospitaletto vs Arzignano Valchiampo is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Ospitaletto, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.