Where and when is Alcione vs Ospitaletto played?

Alcione vs Ospitaletto is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ernesto Breda, in the Serie C - Girone A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alcione vs Ospitaletto: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni

Alcione

Ospitaletto

The Footlab model makes Alcione the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Ospitaletto. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alcione vs Ospitaletto?

A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Alcione (1,746) and Ospitaletto (1,713).

Alcione win42 %

Draw31 %

Ospitaletto win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcione have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Ospitaletto have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alcione
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Renate(home)	3-1	Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026	Novara(home)	0-1	Coppa Italia Serie C
Jul 30, 2026	Mantova(away)	2-6	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026	Torino(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Lumezzane(away)	0-0	Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs

Ospitaletto
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lumezzane(home)	2-0	Serie C - Girone A
Aug 14, 2026	Trento(away)	1-2	Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 8, 2026	Rovato Vertovese(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Padova(away)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Novara(home)	0-2	Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Alcione win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ospitaletto win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 11, 2026	Alcione 0-0 Ospitaletto	Serie C - Girone A
Sep 29, 2025	Ospitaletto 0-1 Alcione	Serie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Alcione vs Ospitaletto on Feb 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alcione score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ospitaletto score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alcione	0.7	1.3	3	7/15	4/15
Ospitaletto	1.5	1.3	5	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alcione sit 1st in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Ospitaletto sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alcione	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
4	Ospitaletto	1	1	0	0	2	0	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alcione vs Ospitaletto?: The Footlab model makes Alcione the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Ospitaletto.
Where and when is Alcione vs Ospitaletto played?: Alcione vs Ospitaletto is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ernesto Breda, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.