Folgore Caratese vs Arzignano Valchiampo: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio XXV Aprile, Carate Brianza
The Footlab model makes Folgore Caratese the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Arzignano Valchiampo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Folgore Caratese vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Folgore Caratese (1,838) and Arzignano Valchiampo (1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Folgore Caratese have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Arzignano Valchiampo have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Giana Erminio(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Vado(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Albinoleffe(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 3, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Folgore Caratese score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arzignano Valchiampo score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Folgore Caratese | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Arzignano Valchiampo | 1.2 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Folgore Caratese sit 14th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Arzignano Valchiampo sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Folgore Caratese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Folgore Caratese vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
- The Footlab model makes Folgore Caratese the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Arzignano Valchiampo.
- Where and when is Folgore Caratese vs Arzignano Valchiampo played?
- Folgore Caratese vs Arzignano Valchiampo is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio XXV Aprile, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.