Folgore Caratese vs Arzignano Valchiampo: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio XXV Aprile, Carate Brianza
The Footlab AI model makes Arzignano Valchiampo the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Folgore Caratese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arzignano Valchiampo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,870 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Folgore Caratese vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Folgore Caratese (1,789) and Arzignano Valchiampo (1,833).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Folgore Caratese vs Arzignano Valchiampo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Folgore Caratese
4-3-3- 9S. Spalluto
- 77K. Mezsargs
- 61A. Santarcangelo
- 8F. Castellano
- 99F. D'Amico
- 6E. Ndoj
- 21E. Gega
- 11M. Balzano
- 19T. Duca
- 29F. Minerva
- 63M. Sarr
Arzignano Valchiampo
4-3-3- 16M. Moretti
- 2M. J. Fosu
- 9A. Mattioli
- 6E. Lakti
- 30C. Gatti
- 11M. Penta
- 57A. Milillo
- 31E. De Santis
- 13F. Cariolato
- 23E. Bernardi
- 1T. Vannucchi
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 10:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Folgore Caratese have 1 win, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Arzignano Valchiampo have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 0-4 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Trento(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Union Brescia(away) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Novara(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Juventus U23(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Folgore Caratese score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arzignano Valchiampo score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Folgore Caratese | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Arzignano Valchiampo | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Folgore Caratese sit 20th in Serie C - Girone A (7 points from 12 matches) and Arzignano Valchiampo sit 4th (21 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 21 |
| 20 | Folgore Caratese | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 7 |
A question about Folgore Caratese vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Folgore Caratese vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arzignano Valchiampo the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Folgore Caratese.
- Where and when is Folgore Caratese vs Arzignano Valchiampo played?
- Folgore Caratese vs Arzignano Valchiampo is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio XXV Aprile, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.