Ospitaletto vs Cittadella: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 6Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Ospitaletto, Ospitaletto
The Footlab model makes Ospitaletto the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Cittadella. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ospitaletto vs Cittadella?
Cittadella starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,804 vs 1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ospitaletto have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Cittadella have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lumezzane(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Trento(away) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rovato Vertovese(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Padova(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Novara(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pergolettese(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luparense(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Padova(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ospitaletto win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cittadella win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Cittadella 2-2 Ospitaletto | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Ospitaletto 1-2 Cittadella | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Cittadella vs Ospitaletto on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ospitaletto score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cittadella score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ospitaletto | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Cittadella | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ospitaletto sit 4th in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Cittadella sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cittadella | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Ospitaletto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ospitaletto vs Cittadella?
- The Footlab model makes Ospitaletto the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Cittadella.
- Where and when is Ospitaletto vs Cittadella played?
- Ospitaletto vs Cittadella is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Ospitaletto, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.