Lecco vs Pergolettese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 6Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco
The Footlab model makes Lecco the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Pergolettese. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lecco vs Pergolettese?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Lecco (1,791) and Pergolettese (1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lecco have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Pergolettese have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 0-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2026 | Catania(away) | 3-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Inter U23(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lecco(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lecco win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Pergolettese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Pergolettese 3-0 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Lecco 1-0 Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Pergolettese 0-0 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Lecco 1-0 Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Pergolettese 4-2 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Lecco 2-0 Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Pergolettese vs Lecco on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lecco score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pergolettese score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecco | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Pergolettese | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lecco sit 10th in Serie C - Girone A (1 points from 1 matches) and Pergolettese sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lecco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Pergolettese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lecco vs Pergolettese?
- The Footlab model makes Lecco the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Pergolettese.
- Where and when is Lecco vs Pergolettese played?
- Lecco vs Pergolettese is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.