Ospitaletto vs Folgore Caratese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 38Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Ospitaletto, Ospitaletto
The Footlab AI model makes Folgore Caratese the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Ospitaletto. The most likely score is 1-1. If Folgore Caratese wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ospitaletto vs Folgore Caratese?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Ospitaletto (1,764) and Folgore Caratese (1,810).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ospitaletto vs Folgore Caratese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ospitaletto
4-3-3- 14F. Galuppini
- 9F. Gobbi
- 77D. Stefanoni
- 16M. Gualandris
- 26G. Mondini
- 8Edoardo Tigani
- 4R. Nessi
- 20M. Casali
- 15P. Parmiggiani
- 3M. Possenti
- 22A. Yazıcı
Folgore Caratese
4-3-3- 9S. Spalluto
- 77K. Mezsargs
- 61A. Santarcangelo
- 8F. Castellano
- 99F. D'Amico
- 6E. Ndoj
- 21E. Gega
- 11M. Balzano
- 19T. Duca
- 29F. Minerva
- 1D. Salvalaggio
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ospitaletto have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Folgore Caratese have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Trento(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pergolettese(home) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Treviso(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Renate(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 0-4 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Trento(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ospitaletto wins, 2 draws, 0 Folgore Caratese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | Folgore Caratese 2-2 Ospitaletto | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Ospitaletto 1-1 Folgore Caratese | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Folgore Caratese vs Ospitaletto on Mar 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ospitaletto score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Folgore Caratese score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ospitaletto | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Folgore Caratese | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ospitaletto sit 5th in Serie C - Girone A (19 points from 12 matches) and Folgore Caratese sit 20th (7 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ospitaletto | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 19 |
| 20 | Folgore Caratese | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 7 |
A question about Ospitaletto vs Folgore Caratese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ospitaletto vs Folgore Caratese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Folgore Caratese the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Ospitaletto.
- Where and when is Ospitaletto vs Folgore Caratese played?
- Ospitaletto vs Folgore Caratese is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Ospitaletto, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.