Spezia vs Sambenedettese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 22Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia
The Footlab AI model makes Spezia the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Sambenedettese. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,542 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spezia vs Sambenedettese?
Spezia starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,983 vs 1,825).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Spezia vs Sambenedettese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Spezia
4-3-3- 11A. Cardinali
- 97D. Cazzadori
- 9S. Mazzocchi
- 70K. Bright
- 14G. Capomaggio
- 24C. Limonelli
- 13M. Å apola
- 6R. Sganzerla
- 37A. Matějů
- 72S. Capolupo
- 1A. Micai
Sambenedettese
4-3-3- 9L. Sgarbi
- 11D. P. Stabile
- 93S. Magnaghi
- 6M. Piccoli
- 37M. Toure
- 18K. Candellori
- 17L. Pezzola
- 4A. Zini
- 29A. Camigliano
- 5M. Chelli
- 12T. Krapikas
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 07:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spezia have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Sambenedettese have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Livorno(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Latina(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ravenna(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gubbio(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Reggiana(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Livorno(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Vado(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Latina(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Spezia wins, 0 draws, 0 Sambenedettese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sambenedettese 1-2 Spezia | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 4, 2018 | Spezia 2-1 Sambenedettese | Coppa Italia |
Last archived meeting: Sambenedettese vs Spezia on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spezia score 2.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sambenedettese score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spezia | 2.0 | 0.5 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Sambenedettese | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spezia sit 1st in Serie C - Girone B (32 points from 12 matches) and Sambenedettese sit 16th (10 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 6 | 32 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 10 |
A question about Spezia vs Sambenedettese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spezia vs Sambenedettese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spezia the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Sambenedettese.
- Where and when is Spezia vs Sambenedettese played?
- Spezia vs Sambenedettese is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Alberto Picco, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.