Spezia vs Sambenedettese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 22Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia
The Footlab model makes Spezia the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Sambenedettese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spezia vs Sambenedettese?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Spezia (1,809) and Sambenedettese (1,792).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spezia have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Sambenedettese have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Torres(home) | 4-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 8, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| May 1, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Forli(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Avellino(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Spezia win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sambenedettese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2018 | Spezia 2-1 Sambenedettese | Coppa Italia |
Last archived meeting: Spezia vs Sambenedettese on Aug 4, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Spezia score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sambenedettese score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spezia | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Sambenedettese | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spezia sit 10th in Serie C - Girone B (1 points from 1 matches) and Sambenedettese sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sambenedettese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Spezia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spezia vs Sambenedettese?
- The Footlab model makes Spezia the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Sambenedettese.
- Where and when is Spezia vs Sambenedettese played?
- Spezia vs Sambenedettese is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Alberto Picco, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.