Match

Pineto vs Perugia: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 22Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Mimmo Pavone, Pineto

PinetoPerugia

The Footlab AI model makes Perugia the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Pineto. The most likely score is 1-1. If Perugia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pineto vs Perugia?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Pineto (1,693) and Perugia (1,701).

31%29%40%
Pineto winDrawPerugia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Pineto vs Perugia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Pineto

3-4-2-1
  1. 9G. Vigliotti
  1. 21L. Lombardi
  2. 8G. Germinario
  3. 99A. Pellegrino
  4. 15D. Ferrante
  5. 4G. Nebuloso
  6. 7G. Guadagni
  1. 52D. Frare
  2. 3Simone Ienco
  3. 13G. Alessandretti
  1. 22A. Tonti

Perugia

4-3-3
  1. 9A. Sabbatani
  2. 90E. Vergani
  3. 10L. Canotto
  1. 8R. Ladinetti
  2. 33C. Langella
  3. 30P. van Amersfoort
  1. 4A. Tozzuolo
  2. 28D. Riccardi
  3. 11M. Borsoi
  4. 5F. Brekalo
  1. 1R. Żelezny

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:29 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pineto have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Perugia have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pineto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026Guidonia Montecelio 1937(away)0-1Serie C - Girone B
Sep 26, 2026Grosseto(home)0-4Serie C - Girone B
Sep 20, 2026Campobasso FC(away)2-2Serie C - Girone B
Sep 16, 2026Forli(home)1-1Serie C - Girone B
Sep 12, 2026Sambenedettese(home)2-1Serie C - Girone B
Perugia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Vado(home)0-2Serie C - Girone B
Oct 3, 2026Gubbio(away)3-1Serie C - Girone B
Sep 27, 2026Reggiana(home)1-0Serie C - Girone B
Sep 20, 2026Grosseto(away)0-2Serie C - Girone B
Sep 16, 2026Spezia(home)0-3Serie C - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pineto wins, 0 draws, 3 Perugia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 6, 2026Perugia 2-1 PinetoSerie C - Girone B
Feb 28, 2026Perugia 0-1 PinetoSerie C - Girone B
Oct 19, 2025Pineto 3-0 PerugiaSerie C - Girone B
Mar 28, 2025Perugia 3-0 PinetoSerie C - Girone B
Nov 16, 2024Pineto 3-1 PerugiaSerie C - Girone B
Aug 18, 2024Pineto 0-2 PerugiaCoppa Italia Serie C

Last archived meeting: Perugia vs Pineto on Sep 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pineto score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Perugia score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pineto0.91.7210/158/15
Perugia1.11.537/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pineto sit 17th in Serie C - Girone B (7 points from 8 matches) and Perugia sit 8th (13 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Perugia941491413
17Pineto81436117

A question about Pineto vs Perugia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pineto vs Perugia?
The Footlab AI model makes Perugia the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Pineto.
Where and when is Pineto vs Perugia played?
Pineto vs Perugia is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Mimmo Pavone, in the Serie C - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pineto and Perugia

Ready to know everything about football?