Gomel II vs Dinamo Minsk II: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Minsk II the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Gomel II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gomel II vs Dinamo Minsk II?
Dinamo Minsk II starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,369 vs 1,263).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gomel II have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Dinamo Minsk II have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Uni Minsk(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Orsha(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Volna(home) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bumprom(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Minsk II(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Osipovichy(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Lida(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Niva(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Gomel II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Dinamo Minsk II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II 2-2 Gomel II | 1. Division |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Gomel II 2-0 Dinamo Minsk II | 1. Division |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Dinamo Minsk II 1-0 Gomel II | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Minsk II vs Gomel II on May 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gomel II score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Minsk II score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gomel II | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Dinamo Minsk II | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gomel II sit 16th in 1. Division (20 points from 21 matches) and Dinamo Minsk II sit 11th (25 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dinamo Minsk II | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 20 |
| 11 | Dinamo Minsk II | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 25 |
| 15 | Gomel II | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 10 |
| 16 | Gomel II | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 37 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gomel II vs Dinamo Minsk II?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Minsk II the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Gomel II.
- Where and when is Gomel II vs Dinamo Minsk II played?
- Gomel II vs Dinamo Minsk II is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.