Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Dessel Sport: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee
The Footlab model makes Oud-Heverlee Leuven II the favourite at 41%, against 21% for a draw and 38% for Dessel Sport. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Dessel Sport?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Oud-Heverlee Leuven II (1,768) and Dessel Sport (1,837).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oud-Heverlee Leuven II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Dessel Sport have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(away) | 4-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(home) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(home) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Zelzate(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Knokke(home) | 4-3 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Dessel Sport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 3-0 Dessel Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Dessel Sport 4-1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Dessel Sport 4-1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 3-2 Dessel Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 1-1 Dessel Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Dessel Sport 1-2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Dessel Sport on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II score 2.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dessel Sport score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 2.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Dessel Sport | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II sit 11th in First Amateur Division (13 points from 10 matches) and Dessel Sport sit 7th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dessel Sport | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 16 |
| 11 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Dessel Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Oud-Heverlee Leuven II the favourite at 41%, against 21% for a draw and 38% for Dessel Sport.
- Where and when is Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Dessel Sport played?
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Dessel Sport is played on December 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.