Houtvenne vs Spouwen-Mopertingen: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 16Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Oosterzonen, Westerlo
The Footlab model makes Spouwen-Mopertingen the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Houtvenne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Houtvenne vs Spouwen-Mopertingen?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Houtvenne (1,817) and Spouwen-Mopertingen (1,879).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Houtvenne have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Spouwen-Mopertingen have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 3-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Merelbeke(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ninove(away) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Diegem Sport(away) | 3-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Zelzate(home) | 5-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(away) | 5-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Tienen(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Houtvenne win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Spouwen-Mopertingen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen 1-4 Houtvenne | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Houtvenne 0-2 Spouwen-Mopertingen | First Amateur Division |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Spouwen-Mopertingen 2-0 Houtvenne | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Houtvenne 0-0 Spouwen-Mopertingen | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Dec 18, 2021 | Houtvenne 1-2 Spouwen-Mopertingen | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Spouwen-Mopertingen 2-0 Houtvenne | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
Last archived meeting: Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Houtvenne on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Houtvenne score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Spouwen-Mopertingen score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houtvenne | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Spouwen-Mopertingen | 2.1 | 1.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Houtvenne sit 12th in First Amateur Division (13 points from 12 matches) and Spouwen-Mopertingen sit 1st (25 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spouwen-Mopertingen | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 17 | 25 |
| 12 | Houtvenne | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Houtvenne vs Spouwen-Mopertingen?
- The Footlab model makes Spouwen-Mopertingen the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Houtvenne.
- Where and when is Houtvenne vs Spouwen-Mopertingen played?
- Houtvenne vs Spouwen-Mopertingen is played on December 12, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Oosterzonen, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.