Mandel United vs Tienen: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 16Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Skyline Arena, Izegem
The Footlab AI model makes Mandel United the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Tienen. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,709 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mandel United vs Tienen?
Mandel United starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (2,091 vs 1,888).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mandel United vs Tienen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mandel United
Not enough data to predict the Mandel United lineup.
Tienen
Not enough data to predict the Tienen lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 06:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mandel United have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Tienen have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Dessel Sport(home) | 4-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Zelzate(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Merelbeke(away) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(home) | 1-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Thes Sport(away) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Heist(away) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(away) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Merelbeke(home) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mandel United wins, 0 draws, 4 Tienen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Tienen 0-2 Mandel United | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Mandel United 0-3 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Tienen 2-0 Mandel United | First Amateur Division |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Mandel United 1-0 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Tienen 2-1 Mandel United | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Tienen 1-0 Mandel United | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Tienen vs Mandel United on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mandel United score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tienen score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mandel United | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Tienen | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Tienen | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 11 |
A question about Mandel United vs Tienen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mandel United vs Tienen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mandel United the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Tienen.
- Where and when is Mandel United vs Tienen played?
- Mandel United vs Tienen is played on December 12, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Skyline Arena, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.