Thes Sport vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sportcentrum Tessenderlo, Tessenderlo
The Footlab model makes Thes Sport the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Oud-Heverlee Leuven II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thes Sport vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II?
Thes Sport starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,874 vs 1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thes Sport have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Oud-Heverlee Leuven II have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Diegem Sport(home) | 6-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(away) | 4-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(home) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Thes Sport win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Thes Sport 3-1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 4-1 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Thes Sport 1-1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 3-1 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 2-3 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Thes Sport 0-3 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Thes Sport vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Thes Sport score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Oud-Heverlee Leuven II score 2.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thes Sport | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 2.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thes Sport sit 5th in First Amateur Division (22 points from 12 matches) and Oud-Heverlee Leuven II sit 11th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thes Sport | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 22 |
| 11 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thes Sport vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II?
- The Footlab model makes Thes Sport the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Oud-Heverlee Leuven II.
- Where and when is Thes Sport vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II played?
- Thes Sport vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II is played on September 19, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sportcentrum Tessenderlo, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.