Oudenaarde vs Ninove: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV AVFV A - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Burgemeester Thienpontstadion, Oudenaarde
The Footlab model makes Oudenaarde the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Ninove. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oudenaarde vs Ninove?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Oudenaarde (1,758) and Ninove (1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oudenaarde have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Ninove have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dender(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Club Brugge II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(away) | 0-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mechelen II(home) | 1-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Merelbeke(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hoogstraten(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Knokke(home) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Diegem Sport(away) | 0-5 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Houtvenne(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Oudenaarde win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ninove win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | Oudenaarde 2-0 Ninove | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Ninove 1-1 Oudenaarde | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Oudenaarde 2-0 Ninove | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Ninove 3-0 Oudenaarde | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
How many goals should we expect?
Oudenaarde score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ninove score 1.2 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oudenaarde | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Ninove | 1.2 | 3.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Oudenaarde | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 54 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oudenaarde vs Ninove?
- The Footlab model makes Oudenaarde the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Ninove.
- Where and when is Oudenaarde vs Ninove played?
- Oudenaarde vs Ninove is played on September 12, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Burgemeester Thienpontstadion, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.