Ourense CF vs Coruxo: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio O Couto, Ourense
The Footlab model makes Ourense CF the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Coruxo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ourense CF vs Coruxo?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Ourense CF (1,906) and Coruxo (1,897).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ourense CF have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Coruxo have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pontevedra(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | CF Talavera(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 2-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Ourense CF win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Coruxo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | Ourense CF 5-1 Coruxo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Coruxo 2-1 Ourense CF | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Coruxo 1-1 Ourense CF | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Ourense CF 0-2 Coruxo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Ourense CF 2-2 Coruxo | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Ourense CF score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Coruxo score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ourense CF | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Coruxo | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Coruxo | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 37 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ourense CF vs Coruxo?
- The Footlab model makes Ourense CF the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Coruxo.
- Where and when is Ourense CF vs Coruxo played?
- Ourense CF vs Coruxo is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio O Couto, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2026CompostelavsReal Madrid III
- Oct 18, 2026GernikavsAmorebieta
- Oct 18, 2026Gimnástica TorrelavegavsDeportivo Alavés II
- Oct 18, 2026BergantiñosvsReal Oviedo II
- Oct 18, 2026Marino de LuancovsSestao River
- Oct 18, 2026PortugaletevsEibar II
- Oct 18, 2026ArosavsLlanera
- Oct 18, 2026Racing Santander IIvsBasconia