Match

Ourense CF vs Coruxo: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio O Couto, Ourense

Ourense CFCoruxo

The Footlab model makes Ourense CF the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Coruxo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ourense CF vs Coruxo?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Ourense CF (1,906) and Coruxo (1,897).

Ourense CF win43 %
Draw27 %
Coruxo win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ourense CF have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Coruxo have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ourense CF
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Lugo(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Pontevedra(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Tenerife(home)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026CF Talavera(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 10, 2026Celta de Vigo II(home)2-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Coruxo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Pontevedra(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Lugo(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026Atlético Baleares(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Atlético Baleares(home)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Ourense CF win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Coruxo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 13, 2024Ourense CF 5-1 CoruxoSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Dec 2, 2023Coruxo 2-1 Ourense CFSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Mar 26, 2023Coruxo 1-1 Ourense CFSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 6, 2022Ourense CF 0-2 CoruxoSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Aug 28, 2021Ourense CF 2-2 CoruxoFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Ourense CF vs Coruxo on Apr 13, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Ourense CF score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Coruxo score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ourense CF1.11.349/157/15
Coruxo1.31.4211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Coruxo3415712463752

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ourense CF vs Coruxo?
The Footlab model makes Ourense CF the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Coruxo.
Where and when is Ourense CF vs Coruxo played?
Ourense CF vs Coruxo is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio O Couto, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ourense CF and Coruxo

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