Bergantiños vs Real Oviedo II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio As Eiroas, Carballo
The Footlab model makes Bergantiños the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Real Oviedo II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bergantiños vs Real Oviedo II?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Bergantiños (1,886) and Real Oviedo II (1,950).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bergantiños have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Real Oviedo II have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Sámano(away) | 5-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | UD Ourense(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sarriana(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 4-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Tudelano(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Tudelano(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Bergantiños win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Real Oviedo II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Real Oviedo II 1-2 Bergantiños | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Bergantiños 1-2 Real Oviedo II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 14, 2023 | Real Oviedo II 3-1 Bergantiños | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Bergantiños 0-2 Real Oviedo II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Real Oviedo II vs Bergantiños on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bergantiños score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Real Oviedo II score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bergantiños | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Oviedo II | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bergantiños sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (48 points from 34 matches) and Real Oviedo II sit 2nd (58 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Real Oviedo II | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 50 | 35 | 58 |
| 10 | Bergantiños | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 37 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bergantiños vs Real Oviedo II?
- The Footlab model makes Bergantiños the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Real Oviedo II.
- Where and when is Bergantiños vs Real Oviedo II played?
- Bergantiños vs Real Oviedo II is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio As Eiroas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.