Match

Southport vs Oxford City: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)The BIG HELP Stadium, Southport, Merseyside

SouthportOxford City

The Footlab model makes Oxford City the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Southport. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Southport vs Oxford City?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Southport (1,857) and Oxford City (1,875).

Southport win36 %
Draw27 %
Oxford City win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southport have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Oxford City have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Southport
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bedford Town(home)4-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Hednesford Town(away)2-2National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Buxton(home)1-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Hebburn Town(away)1-3National League - North
Jul 31, 2026Wigan(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Oxford City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Spennymoor Town(away)4-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Harborough Town(home)1-1National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Spalding United(away)1-0National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Bedford Town(home)1-0National League - North
Jul 28, 2026Slough Town(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Southport win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Oxford City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Southport 1-3 Oxford CityNational League - North
Oct 18, 2025Oxford City 1-2 SouthportNational League - North
Apr 5, 2025Southport 2-2 Oxford CityNational League - North
Nov 2, 2024Oxford City 1-1 SouthportNational League - North

Last archived meeting: Southport vs Oxford City on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Southport score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Oxford City score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Southport1.51.5310/1510/15
Oxford City1.91.0411/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Southport sit 11th in National League - North (5 points from 4 matches) and Oxford City sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Oxford City43107210
11Southport4121875

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Southport vs Oxford City?
The Footlab model makes Oxford City the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Southport.
Where and when is Southport vs Oxford City played?
Southport vs Oxford City is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at The BIG HELP Stadium, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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