Chester vs Radcliffe: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Deva Stadium, Chester, Cheshire
The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Radcliffe. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chester vs Radcliffe?
Chester starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,958 vs 1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chester have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Radcliffe have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Macclesfield(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bury(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Chester win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Radcliffe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Chester 1-3 Radcliffe | National League - North |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Radcliffe 1-3 Chester | National League - North |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Radcliffe 0-3 Chester | National League - North |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Chester 2-0 Radcliffe | National League - North |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Radcliffe 1-2 Chester | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Radcliffe 3-1 Chester | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Radcliffe score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chester | 1.3 | 0.3 | 11 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Radcliffe | 1.1 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chester sit 1st in National League - North (12 points from 4 matches) and Radcliffe sit 21st (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chester | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 21 | Radcliffe | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chester vs Radcliffe?
- The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Radcliffe.
- Where and when is Chester vs Radcliffe played?
- Chester vs Radcliffe is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Deva Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027MacclesfieldvsKing's Lynn Town
- Apr 24, 2027SouthportvsOxford City
- Apr 24, 2027HerefordvsScarborough Athletic
- Apr 24, 2027Brackley TownvsDarlington 1883
- Apr 24, 2027Spennymoor TownvsBuxton
- Apr 24, 2027Worksop TownvsMerthyr Town
- Apr 24, 2027Bedford TownvsHebburn Town
- Apr 24, 2027Spalding UnitedvsMorecambe