Oxford City vs Radcliffe: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 27Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)RAW Charging Stadium, Oxford, Oxfordshire
The Footlab model makes Oxford City the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Radcliffe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oxford City vs Radcliffe?
Oxford City starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,705).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oxford City have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Radcliffe have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Harborough Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spalding United(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Macclesfield(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bury(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Oxford City win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Radcliffe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | Radcliffe 1-0 Oxford City | National League - North |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Oxford City 1-5 Radcliffe | National League - North |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Oxford City 1-0 Radcliffe | National League - North |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Radcliffe 1-3 Oxford City | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Radcliffe vs Oxford City on Feb 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oxford City score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Radcliffe score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford City | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Radcliffe | 1.1 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oxford City sit 2nd in National League - North (10 points from 4 matches) and Radcliffe sit 21st (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Oxford City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 21 | Radcliffe | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oxford City vs Radcliffe?
- The Footlab model makes Oxford City the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Radcliffe.
- Where and when is Oxford City vs Radcliffe played?
- Oxford City vs Radcliffe is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at RAW Charging Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027MacclesfieldvsSpennymoor Town
- Jan 16, 2027ChestervsBuxton
- Jan 16, 2027SouthportvsWorksop Town
- Jan 16, 2027ChorleyvsKing's Lynn Town
- Jan 16, 2027AFC Telford UnitedvsHarborough Town
- Jan 16, 2027Brackley TownvsMorecambe
- Jan 16, 2027Bedford TownvsSpalding United
- Jan 16, 2027Hednesford TownvsHebburn Town