Morecambe vs Oxford City: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 28Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mazuma Stadium, Morecambe, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Oxford City the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Morecambe. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oxford City wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,590 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Morecambe vs Oxford City?
Oxford City starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,870 vs 1,753).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Morecambe vs Oxford City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Morecambe
Not enough data to predict the Morecambe lineup.
Oxford City
Not enough data to predict the Oxford City lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 02:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morecambe have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Oxford City have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(home) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 3-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Marine(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hebburn Town(away) | 3-0 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Morecambe wins, 1 draw, 0 Oxford City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Oxford City 1-1 Morecambe | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Oxford City vs Morecambe on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Morecambe score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Oxford City score 2.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morecambe | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Oxford City | 2.2 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Morecambe sit 8th in National League - North (23 points from 14 matches) and Oxford City sit 2nd (27 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Oxford City | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 27 |
| 8 | Morecambe | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 12 | 23 |
A question about Morecambe vs Oxford City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Morecambe vs Oxford City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oxford City the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Morecambe.
- Where and when is Morecambe vs Oxford City played?
- Morecambe vs Oxford City is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mazuma Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.