Match

Brackley Town vs Morecambe: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 27Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St. James Park, Brackley, Northamptonshire

Brackley TownMorecambe

The Footlab model makes Brackley Town the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Morecambe. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Brackley Town vs Morecambe?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Brackley Town (1,691) and Morecambe (1,659).

Brackley Town win38 %
Draw25 %
Morecambe win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brackley Town have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Morecambe have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Brackley Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Macclesfield(away)1-2National League - North
Aug 18, 2026King's Lynn Town(home)0-2National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Hebburn Town(home)1-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026AFC Telford United(away)2-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Maidenhead(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Morecambe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Radcliffe(away)1-2National League - North
Aug 18, 2026South Shields(home)0-1National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Harborough Town(away)0-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Spennymoor Town(home)1-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Barrow(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Brackley Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Morecambe win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 21, 2025Brackley Town 0-2 MorecambeNational League
Nov 18, 2025Morecambe 2-0 Brackley TownNational League

Last archived meeting: Brackley Town vs Morecambe on Dec 21, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Brackley Town score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Morecambe score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Brackley Town0.71.617/156/15
Morecambe1.12.118/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Brackley Town sit 15th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Morecambe sit 24th (1 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Brackley Town4112464
24Morecambe4013251

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Brackley Town vs Morecambe?
The Footlab model makes Brackley Town the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Morecambe.
Where and when is Brackley Town vs Morecambe played?
Brackley Town vs Morecambe is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at St. James Park, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Brackley Town and Morecambe

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