Match

Blackpool vs Plymouth: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bloomfield Road, Blackpool, Lancashire

BlackpoolPlymouth

The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Blackpool. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Blackpool vs Plymouth?

A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Blackpool (1,845) and Plymouth (1,914).

Blackpool win22 %
Draw24 %
Plymouth win54 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blackpool have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Plymouth have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Blackpool
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stockport County(away)2-1League One
Aug 15, 2026Wycombe(home)1-1League One
Aug 8, 2026Grimsby(away)3-1League Cup
Aug 1, 2026Port Vale(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Barrow(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Plymouth
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Wycombe(away)1-1League One
Aug 15, 2026Stockport County(home)1-3League One
Aug 10, 2026Exeter City(home)2-0League Cup
Aug 4, 2026Tavistock(away)4-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Bristol City(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Blackpool win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Plymouth win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Blackpool 0-4 PlymouthLeague One
Aug 23, 2025Plymouth 1-0 BlackpoolLeague One
Mar 27, 2021Blackpool 2-2 PlymouthLeague One
Sep 12, 2020Plymouth 1-0 BlackpoolLeague One
Mar 30, 2019Blackpool 2-2 PlymouthLeague One
Sep 15, 2018Plymouth 0-1 BlackpoolLeague One

Last archived meeting: Blackpool vs Plymouth on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Blackpool score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Blackpool1.10.865/154/15
Plymouth2.10.969/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Blackpool sit 6th in League One (4 points from 2 matches) and Plymouth sit 22nd (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Blackpool2110324
22Plymouth2011241

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Blackpool vs Plymouth?
The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Blackpool.
Where and when is Blackpool vs Plymouth played?
Blackpool vs Plymouth is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bloomfield Road, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Blackpool and Plymouth

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