Blackpool vs Plymouth: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bloomfield Road, Blackpool, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Blackpool. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blackpool vs Plymouth?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Blackpool (1,845) and Plymouth (1,914).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blackpool have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Plymouth have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wycombe(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Barrow(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tavistock(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Blackpool win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Plymouth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Blackpool 0-4 Plymouth | League One |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Plymouth 1-0 Blackpool | League One |
| Mar 27, 2021 | Blackpool 2-2 Plymouth | League One |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Plymouth 1-0 Blackpool | League One |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Blackpool 2-2 Plymouth | League One |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Plymouth 0-1 Blackpool | League One |
Last archived meeting: Blackpool vs Plymouth on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Blackpool score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackpool | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Plymouth | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Blackpool sit 6th in League One (4 points from 2 matches) and Plymouth sit 22nd (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Blackpool | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blackpool vs Plymouth?
- The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Blackpool.
- Where and when is Blackpool vs Plymouth played?
- Blackpool vs Plymouth is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bloomfield Road, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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