Exeter City vs Tottenham Hotspur U21: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup South - 1Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)St James Park, Exeter, Devon
The Footlab model makes Exeter City the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Tottenham Hotspur U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Exeter City vs Tottenham Hotspur U21?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Exeter City (1,766) and Tottenham Hotspur U21 (1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Exeter City have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Tottenham Hotspur U21 have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Algeciras(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Boreham Wood(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 8, 2026 | Brighton U21(home) | 1-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| May 1, 2026 | Chelsea U21(away) | 3-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Exeter City win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Tottenham Hotspur U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2024 | Exeter City 2-0 Tottenham Hotspur U21 | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Exeter City vs Tottenham Hotspur U21 on Sep 24, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Exeter City score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tottenham Hotspur U21 score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exeter City | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Exeter City sit 2nd in EFL Trophy (6 points from 3 matches) and Tottenham Hotspur U21 sit 4th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Exeter City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Exeter City vs Tottenham Hotspur U21?
- The Footlab model makes Exeter City the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Tottenham Hotspur U21.
- Where and when is Exeter City vs Tottenham Hotspur U21 played?
- Exeter City vs Tottenham Hotspur U21 is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at St James Park, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.