Ózd Sajóvölgye vs Mátészalka: prediction and stats
NB III - NortheastNortheast - 24Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ózdi Városi Stadion, Ózd
The Footlab model makes Ózd Sajóvölgye the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Mátészalka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ózd Sajóvölgye vs Mátészalka?
Ózd Sajóvölgye starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,415 vs 1,310).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ózd Sajóvölgye have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Mátészalka have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ibrány SE(away) | 2-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tarpa(home) | 4-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cigand SE(home) | 0-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tiszafuredi VSE(away) | 2-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tiszaújváros(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(away) | 2-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hajdúnánás(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gödöllő(home) | 4-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(away) | 2-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kisvárda II(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Northeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Ózd Sajóvölgye score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mátészalka score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ózd Sajóvölgye | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Mátészalka | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ózd Sajóvölgye sit 4th in NB III - Northeast (9 points from 4 matches) and Mátészalka sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ózd Sajóvölgye | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Mátészalka | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ózd Sajóvölgye vs Mátészalka?
- The Footlab model makes Ózd Sajóvölgye the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Mátészalka.
- Where and when is Ózd Sajóvölgye vs Mátészalka played?
- Ózd Sajóvölgye vs Mátészalka is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ózdi Városi Stadion, in the NB III - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.