Bonner SC vs Bergisch Gladbach: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Nord, Bonn
The Footlab model makes Bergisch Gladbach the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Bonner SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bonner SC vs Bergisch Gladbach?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Bonner SC (1,869) and Bergisch Gladbach (1,916).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bonner SC have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Bergisch Gladbach have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sportfreunde Lotte(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | KFC Uerdingen 05(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wiedenbrück(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bonner SC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Bergisch Gladbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2025 | Bergisch Gladbach 5-0 Bonner SC | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Bonner SC 4-2 Bergisch Gladbach | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Bonner SC 1-0 Bergisch Gladbach | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 13, 2023 | Bergisch Gladbach 3-1 Bonner SC | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Apr 21, 2023 | Bergisch Gladbach 1-1 Bonner SC | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Bergisch Gladbach 0-1 Bonner SC | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Bergisch Gladbach vs Bonner SC on Jun 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Bonner SC score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bergisch Gladbach score 3.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonner SC | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Bergisch Gladbach | 3.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bonner SC sit 15th in Regionalliga - West (2 points from 4 matches) and Bergisch Gladbach sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bergisch Gladbach | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | Bonner SC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bonner SC vs Bergisch Gladbach?
- The Footlab model makes Bergisch Gladbach the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Bonner SC.
- Where and when is Bonner SC vs Bergisch Gladbach played?
- Bonner SC vs Bergisch Gladbach is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Nord, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026SV RodinghausenvsFC Gutersloh
- Sep 19, 2026Borussia M'gladbach IIvsRot-weiss Oberhausen
- Sep 19, 2026Schalke 04 IIvsSportfreunde Lotte
- Sep 19, 2026FC BocholtvsWiedenbrück
- Sep 19, 2026HildenvsBochum II
- Sep 19, 2026Paderborn IIvsBorussia Dortmund II
- Sep 19, 2026Sportfreunde SiegenvsSG Wattenscheid 09
- Sep 19, 2026Westfalia RhynernvsKöln II