Schalke 04 II vs Sportfreunde Lotte: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen
The Footlab model makes Schalke 04 II the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Sportfreunde Lotte. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schalke 04 II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Schalke 04 II (1,933) and Sportfreunde Lotte (1,869).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schalke 04 II have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Sportfreunde Lotte have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Bocholt(away) | 5-4 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Paderborn II(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SV Meppen(away) | 0-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bochum II(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bonner SC(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Schalke 04 II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sportfreunde Lotte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Sportfreunde Lotte 2-5 Schalke 04 II | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Schalke 04 II 3-0 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Schalke 04 II 1-2 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Sportfreunde Lotte 4-1 Schalke 04 II | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 7, 2022 | Schalke 04 II 7-1 Sportfreunde Lotte | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Schalke 04 II 4-1 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Sportfreunde Lotte vs Schalke 04 II on Apr 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Schalke 04 II score 2.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sportfreunde Lotte score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schalke 04 II | 2.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Sportfreunde Lotte | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schalke 04 II sit 7th in Regionalliga - West (6 points from 4 matches) and Sportfreunde Lotte sit 16th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Schalke 04 II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| 16 | Sportfreunde Lotte | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schalke 04 II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
- The Footlab model makes Schalke 04 II the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Sportfreunde Lotte.
- Where and when is Schalke 04 II vs Sportfreunde Lotte played?
- Schalke 04 II vs Sportfreunde Lotte is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Parkstadion, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Bonner SCvsBergisch Gladbach
- Sep 19, 2026SV RodinghausenvsFC Gutersloh
- Sep 19, 2026Borussia M'gladbach IIvsRot-weiss Oberhausen
- Sep 19, 2026FC BocholtvsWiedenbrück
- Sep 19, 2026HildenvsBochum II
- Sep 19, 2026Paderborn IIvsBorussia Dortmund II
- Sep 19, 2026Sportfreunde SiegenvsSG Wattenscheid 09
- Sep 19, 2026Westfalia RhynernvsKöln II