Match

Schalke 04 II vs Sportfreunde Lotte: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - WestWest - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen

Schalke 04 IISportfreunde Lotte

The Footlab model makes Schalke 04 II the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Sportfreunde Lotte. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Schalke 04 II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Schalke 04 II (1,933) and Sportfreunde Lotte (1,869).

Schalke 04 II win60 %
Draw21 %
Sportfreunde Lotte win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schalke 04 II have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Sportfreunde Lotte have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Schalke 04 II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09(away)0-3Regionalliga - West
Aug 14, 2026Sportfreunde Siegen(home)2-0Regionalliga - West
Aug 8, 2026FC Bocholt(away)5-4Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026Paderborn II(home)2-3Regionalliga - West
Jul 25, 2026SV Meppen(away)0-8Friendlies Clubs
Sportfreunde Lotte
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Bochum II(home)0-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 14, 2026Bonner SC(away)2-2Regionalliga - West
Aug 9, 2026Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away)0-0Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026FC Gutersloh(home)0-1Regionalliga - West
Jul 18, 2026Real Betis(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Schalke 04 II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sportfreunde Lotte win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 15, 2026Sportfreunde Lotte 2-5 Schalke 04 IIRegionalliga - West
Aug 20, 2025Schalke 04 II 3-0 Sportfreunde LotteRegionalliga - West
Mar 29, 2025Schalke 04 II 1-2 Sportfreunde LotteRegionalliga - West
Oct 5, 2024Sportfreunde Lotte 4-1 Schalke 04 IIRegionalliga - West
Jul 7, 2022Schalke 04 II 7-1 Sportfreunde LotteFriendlies Clubs
Jan 29, 2022Schalke 04 II 4-1 Sportfreunde LotteRegionalliga - West

Last archived meeting: Sportfreunde Lotte vs Schalke 04 II on Apr 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Schalke 04 II score 2.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sportfreunde Lotte score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Schalke 04 II2.12.538/1512/15
Sportfreunde Lotte1.02.128/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Schalke 04 II sit 7th in Regionalliga - West (6 points from 4 matches) and Sportfreunde Lotte sit 16th (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Schalke 04 II42029106
16Sportfreunde Lotte4022242

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Schalke 04 II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
The Footlab model makes Schalke 04 II the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Sportfreunde Lotte.
Where and when is Schalke 04 II vs Sportfreunde Lotte played?
Schalke 04 II vs Sportfreunde Lotte is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Parkstadion, in the Regionalliga - West.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Schalke 04 II and Sportfreunde Lotte

Ready to know everything about football?