Padova vs Catanzaro: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padova
The Footlab AI model makes Padova the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Catanzaro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Padova wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Padova vs Catanzaro?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Padova (1,810) and Catanzaro (1,858).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Padova vs Catanzaro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Padova
3-5-2- 9L. Moro
- 20M. Bortolussi
- 21E. Zuelli
- 8P. Fusi
- 34M. Cocchi
- 17A. Capelli
- 10G. Caprari
- 27Alessandro Dellavalle
- 5M. Lovato
- 58C. Pastina
- 22A. Sorrentino
Catanzaro
3-4-2-1- 9P. Iemmello
- 10J. Petriccione
- 98N. Mosti
- 30G. Alesi
- 93M. Dorval
- 20S. Pafundi
- 62R. Frosinini
- 4Matias Antonini
- 24M. Ruggero
- 3M. Imperiale
- 22M. Pigliacelli
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Padova have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Catanzaro have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sampdoria(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Padova wins, 2 draws, 1 Catanzaro win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Padova 1-3 Catanzaro | Serie B |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Catanzaro 0-1 Padova | Serie B |
| May 29, 2022 | Padova 2-1 Catanzaro | Serie C - Girone A |
| May 25, 2022 | Catanzaro 0-0 Padova | Serie C - Girone A |
| Jan 19, 2022 | Catanzaro 0-1 Padova | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Dec 15, 2021 | Padova 1-1 Catanzaro | Coppa Italia Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Padova score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Catanzaro score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padova | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Catanzaro | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Padova sit 10th in Serie B (7 points from 6 matches) and Catanzaro sit 19th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| 19 | Catanzaro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
A question about Padova vs Catanzaro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Padova vs Catanzaro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Padova the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Catanzaro.
- Where and when is Padova vs Catanzaro played?
- Padova vs Catanzaro is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Euganeo, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.