Vicenza Virtus vs Ascoli: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Romeo Menti, Vicenza
The Footlab model makes Vicenza Virtus the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Ascoli. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vicenza Virtus vs Ascoli?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Vicenza Virtus (1,962) and Ascoli (1,968).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vicenza Virtus have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Ascoli have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Catanzaro(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Catania(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-4 | Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals |
| May 2, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 5-2 | Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-4 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Potenza(home) | 3-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lazio(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vicenza Virtus win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Ascoli win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | Vicenza Virtus 2-0 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Ascoli 2-1 Vicenza Virtus | Serie B |
| Apr 5, 2021 | Ascoli 2-1 Vicenza Virtus | Serie B |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Vicenza Virtus 2-1 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Feb 18, 2017 | Vicenza Virtus 1-1 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2016 | Ascoli 2-0 Vicenza Virtus | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Vicenza Virtus vs Ascoli on Mar 20, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Vicenza Virtus score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ascoli score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vicenza Virtus | 2.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Ascoli | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vicenza Virtus sit 1st in Serie B (3 points from 1 matches) and Ascoli sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza Virtus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vicenza Virtus vs Ascoli?
- The Footlab model makes Vicenza Virtus the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Ascoli.
- Where and when is Vicenza Virtus vs Ascoli played?
- Vicenza Virtus vs Ascoli is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Romeo Menti, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.