Modena vs Carrarese: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
The Footlab AI model makes Modena the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Carrarese. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,398 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Modena vs Carrarese?
On Elo ratings, Modena has 1,830 points and Carrarese 1,739.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Modena vs Carrarese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Modena
3-5-2- 10G. Caso
- 70G. Ambrosino
- 16G. Brugman
- 42A. Bianco
- 72G. Olzer
- 8S. Santoro
- 27Paulo Azzi
- 6S. Nador
- 20B. Nieling
- 77D. Tonoli
- 1L. Chichizola
Carrarese
3-5-2- 9F. Abiuso
- 10T. Rubino
- 73J. Rouhi
- 18Nicolás Schiavi
- 77G. Parlanti
- 7N. Belloni
- 23M. Braunöder
- 6F. Oliana
- 13F. Ruggeri
- 33F. Reale
- 1S. Pizzignacco
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Modena have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Carrarese have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Avellino(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Padova(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Modena wins, 1 draw, 1 Carrarese win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Modena 2-0 Carrarese | Serie B |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Carrarese 0-0 Modena | Serie B |
| May 4, 2025 | Carrarese 2-1 Modena | Serie B |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Modena 2-0 Carrarese | Serie B |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Carrarese 2-3 Modena | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Modena 2-0 Carrarese | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Modena score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Carrarese score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modena | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Carrarese | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Modena sit 3rd in Serie B (13 points from 6 matches) and Carrarese sit 17th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Modena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 13 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
A question about Modena vs Carrarese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Modena vs Carrarese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Modena the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Carrarese.
- Where and when is Modena vs Carrarese played?
- Modena vs Carrarese is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Alberto Braglia, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.