Pafos vs Karmiotissa: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, Paphos
The Footlab model makes Pafos the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Karmiotissa. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pafos vs Karmiotissa?
Pafos starts as the favourite with a 296-point Elo edge (2,021 vs 1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pafos have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Karmiotissa have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | PAEEK(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | ASIL Lysi(away) | 6-2 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | MEAP Nisou(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Ayia Napa(home) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Pafos win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Karmiotissa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Karmiotissa 0-2 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Pafos 4-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Karmiotissa 2-1 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Pafos 3-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Dec 19, 2022 | Karmiotissa 0-1 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Sep 2, 2022 | Pafos 4-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Pafos score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karmiotissa score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Karmiotissa | 2.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pafos | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 66 | 38 | 62 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pafos vs Karmiotissa?
- The Footlab model makes Pafos the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Karmiotissa.
- Where and when is Pafos vs Karmiotissa played?
- Pafos vs Karmiotissa is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.