Pafos vs Karmiotissa: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, Paphos
The Footlab AI model makes Pafos the favourite at 77%, against 16% for a draw and 7% for Karmiotissa. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pafos vs Karmiotissa?
Pafos is a heavy favourite: 2,050 Elo points against 1,737, a 312-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pafos vs Karmiotissa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pafos
4-5-1- 18Lelê
- 88Pêpê Rodrigues
- 26I. Šunjić
- 30V. Dragomir
- 8Domingos Quina
- 13N. Moumi Ngamaleu
- 4David Luiz
- 14N. Ioannou
- 3S. Mmaee
- 2Yoram\t Zague
- 99R. Majecki
Karmiotissa
4-3-2-1- 9Patrick Luan
- 21P. Psychas
- 8Curtis Yebli
- 20Marios Kokkinoftas
- 77P. Tachtsidis
- 7M. Bajunovic
- 4S. Dembélé
- 6C. Wheeler
- 33Julio Cesar
- 22Rubén García
- 1Nikolaos Giannakopoulos
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pafos have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Karmiotissa have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Anorthosis(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | AEL(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 1-0 | Super Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Aris(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Pafos wins, 0 draws, 1 Karmiotissa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Karmiotissa 0-3 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Karmiotissa 0-2 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Pafos 4-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Karmiotissa 2-1 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Pafos 3-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Dec 19, 2022 | Karmiotissa 0-1 Pafos | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Pafos score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Karmiotissa score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Karmiotissa | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pafos sit 4th in 1. Division (10 points from 5 matches) and Karmiotissa sit 12th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pafos | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 | Karmiotissa | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
A question about Pafos vs Karmiotissa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pafos vs Karmiotissa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pafos the favourite at 77%, against 16% for a draw and 7% for Karmiotissa.
- Where and when is Pafos vs Karmiotissa played?
- Pafos vs Karmiotissa is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.