Anorthosis vs AEL: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Antonis Papadopoulos, Larnaca
The Footlab model makes Anorthosis the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for AEL. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Anorthosis vs AEL?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Anorthosis (1,820) and AEL (1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anorthosis have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; AEL have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Nea Salamis(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Olympiakos(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| May 8, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(home) | 5-2 | 1. Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Enosis(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Krasava Odintsovo(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Akritas(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Anorthosis win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 AEL win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | AEL 0-1 Anorthosis | 1. Division |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Anorthosis 2-1 AEL | 1. Division |
| Oct 4, 2025 | AEL 4-1 Anorthosis | 1. Division |
| Apr 25, 2025 | AEL 1-3 Anorthosis | 1. Division |
| Feb 8, 2025 | AEL 0-1 Anorthosis | 1. Division |
| Nov 4, 2024 | Anorthosis 1-0 AEL | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Anorthosis score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AEL score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anorthosis | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| AEL | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Anorthosis sit 7th in 1. Division (45 points from 33 matches) and AEL sit 8th (44 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Anorthosis | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 35 | 40 | 45 |
| 8 | AEL | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 46 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Anorthosis vs AEL?
- The Footlab model makes Anorthosis the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for AEL.
- Where and when is Anorthosis vs AEL played?
- Anorthosis vs AEL is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Antonis Papadopoulos, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.