Anorthosis vs AEL: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Antonis Papadopoulos, Larnaca
The Footlab AI model makes AEL the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Anorthosis. The most likely score is 1-1. If AEL wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,869 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Anorthosis vs AEL?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Anorthosis (1,794) and AEL (1,854).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Anorthosis vs AEL
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Anorthosis
3-4-3- 21Rafael Lopes
- 70M. Ilia
- 32E. Sosa
- 20C. Aboagye
- 88A. Chrysostomou
- 9Alessio Da Cruz
- 36Stijn Middendorp
- 5Kiko
- 44N. Tošić
- 22K. Sergiou
- 28J. Karlstrøm
AEL
4-2-3-1- 10R. Oudin
- 11L. Singh
- 30G. Papageorgiou
- 6D. Zdravkovski
- 20João Tavares
- 80Jair Tavares
- 23Diogo Gomes
- 33E. Antoniou
- 22K. Neofytou
- 35Sérgio Conceição
- 1S. Kapino
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 02:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anorthosis have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; AEL have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Enosis(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nea Salamis(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(away) | 0-6 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Anorthosis wins, 0 draws, 2 AEL wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | AEL 2-0 Anorthosis | 1. Division |
| Apr 27, 2026 | AEL 0-1 Anorthosis | 1. Division |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Anorthosis 2-1 AEL | 1. Division |
| Oct 4, 2025 | AEL 4-1 Anorthosis | 1. Division |
| Apr 25, 2025 | AEL 1-3 Anorthosis | 1. Division |
| Feb 8, 2025 | AEL 0-1 Anorthosis | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Anorthosis score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; AEL score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anorthosis | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| AEL | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Anorthosis sit 13th in 1. Division (3 points from 6 matches) and AEL sit 1st (15 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEL | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 15 |
| 13 | Anorthosis | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 3 |
A question about Anorthosis vs AEL?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Anorthosis vs AEL?
- The Footlab AI model makes AEL the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Anorthosis.
- Where and when is Anorthosis vs AEL played?
- Anorthosis vs AEL is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Antonis Papadopoulos, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.