Match

Apoel Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca: prediction and stats

1. DivisionRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Neo GSP, Levkosía

Apoel NicosiaAEK Larnaca

The Footlab AI model makes Apoel Nicosia the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for AEK Larnaca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Apoel Nicosia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Apoel Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca?

On Elo ratings, Apoel Nicosia has 1,909 points and AEK Larnaca 2,043.

47%25%28%
Apoel Nicosia winDrawAEK Larnaca win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Apoel Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Apoel Nicosia

4-1-4-1
  1. 15F. Pedrozo
  1. 8Dálcio
  2. 18D. Limnios
  3. 9A. Bakasetas
  4. 72A. Barák
  5. 10Marquinhos
  1. 34K. Laifis
  2. 3K. Stafylidis
  3. 25Joan Sastre
  4. 16Álvaro Carrillo
  1. 27V. Belec

AEK Larnaca

3-4-2-1
  1. 11R. Bajić
  1. 14A. Layouni
  2. 7Gus Ledes
  3. 21Miramón
  4. 10Y. Chacón
  5. 20J. Repas
  6. 6I. Pankov
  1. 15H. Miličević
  2. 23S. Köhler
  3. 22G. Ekpolo
  1. 92A. Paleari

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 04:32 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Apoel Nicosia have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; AEK Larnaca have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Apoel Nicosia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Omonia Aradippou(away)2-11. Division
Oct 28, 2026Halkanoras(home)5-2Cup
Oct 25, 2026Omonia 29is Maiou(home)4-11. Division
Oct 19, 2026Pafos(away)0-01. Division
Oct 10, 2026Nea Salamis(home)2-11. Division
AEK Larnaca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Krasava Ypsonas(away)2-21. Division
Oct 26, 2026Omonia Nicosia(home)2-01. Division
Oct 21, 2026Akritas(home)3-2Cup
Oct 18, 2026Aris(away)1-11. Division
Oct 12, 2026Omonia Aradippou(home)1-01. Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Apoel Nicosia win, 1 draw, 4 AEK Larnaca wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 29, 2026AEK Larnaca 3-1 Apoel Nicosia1. Division
May 3, 2026Apoel Nicosia 1-0 AEK Larnaca1. Division
Mar 22, 2026AEK Larnaca 1-0 Apoel Nicosia1. Division
Feb 8, 2026Apoel Nicosia 1-2 AEK Larnaca1. Division
Oct 27, 2025AEK Larnaca 1-1 Apoel Nicosia1. Division
May 4, 2025AEK Larnaca 3-0 Apoel Nicosia1. Division

Last archived meeting: AEK Larnaca vs Apoel Nicosia on Aug 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Apoel Nicosia score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; AEK Larnaca score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Apoel Nicosia1.91.6210/1512/15
AEK Larnaca1.70.948/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Apoel Nicosia sit 6th in 1. Division (14 points from 8 matches) and AEK Larnaca sit 1st (17 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1AEK Larnaca852115717
6Apoel Nicosia8422181014

A question about Apoel Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Apoel Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca?
The Footlab AI model makes Apoel Nicosia the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for AEK Larnaca.
Where and when is Apoel Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca played?
Apoel Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Neo GSP, in the 1. Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Apoel Nicosia and AEK Larnaca

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