Apollon Limassol vs Aris: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
The Footlab model makes Apollon Limassol the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Aris. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Apollon Limassol vs Aris?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Apollon Limassol (1,955) and Aris (1,912).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Apollon Limassol have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Aris have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brann(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Brann(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dila(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Dila(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Union Berlin(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Atromitos(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 3-4 | 1. Division |
| May 16, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Apollon Limassol win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Aris win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Apollon Limassol 3-2 Aris | 1. Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Aris 3-0 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Apollon Limassol 0-2 Aris | 1. Division |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Aris 3-1 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| May 18, 2025 | Apollon Limassol 2-3 Aris | 1. Division |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Aris 2-1 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Apollon Limassol vs Aris on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Apollon Limassol score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aris score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Limassol | 1.7 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Aris | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Apollon Limassol sit 3rd in 1. Division (67 points from 36 matches) and Aris sit 6th (51 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Apollon Limassol | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 41 | 67 |
| 6 | Aris | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 61 | 45 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Apollon Limassol vs Aris?
- The Footlab model makes Apollon Limassol the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Aris.
- Where and when is Apollon Limassol vs Aris played?
- Apollon Limassol vs Aris is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Alphamega Stadium, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.