Apollon Limassol vs Aris: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
The Footlab AI model makes Apollon Limassol the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Aris. The most likely score is 1-1. If Apollon Limassol wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,985 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Apollon Limassol vs Aris?
On Elo ratings, Apollon Limassol has 1,988 points and Aris 1,928.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Apollon Limassol vs Aris
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Apollon Limassol
4-2-3-1- 30Dani Escriche
- 27G. Weissbeck
- 23Brandon Thomas
- 12Gustavo Assunção
- 10Garry Rodrigues
- 77I. Ljubic
- 44J. Kvída
- 37L. Konomis
- 14G. Malekkides
- 76Bruno Gaspar
- 22P. Kühn
Aris
4-2-3-1- 11R. Effaghe
- 29D. Gaustad
- 70C. El Allachi
- 8C. Charalampous
- 22V. Nikolić
- 6A. Opoku
- 7Anderson Correia
- 17M. Matysik
- 20S. Yago
- 24G. Kalulu
- 91M. Zadro
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 05:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Apollon Limassol have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Aris have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 4-2 | 1. Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna(home) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olympiakos(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Riga(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Karmiotissa(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Apollon Limassol win, 1 draw, 4 Aris wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Aris 2-2 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| May 16, 2026 | Apollon Limassol 3-2 Aris | 1. Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Aris 3-0 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Apollon Limassol 0-2 Aris | 1. Division |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Aris 3-1 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| May 18, 2025 | Apollon Limassol 2-3 Aris | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Aris vs Apollon Limassol on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Apollon Limassol score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Aris score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Limassol | 1.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Aris | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Apollon Limassol sit 3rd in 1. Division (12 points from 6 matches) and Aris sit 6th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Apollon Limassol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Aris | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
A question about Apollon Limassol vs Aris?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Apollon Limassol vs Aris?
- The Footlab AI model makes Apollon Limassol the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Aris.
- Where and when is Apollon Limassol vs Aris played?
- Apollon Limassol vs Aris is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Alphamega Stadium, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.