Pafos vs Villarreal: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 4Kick-off on November 5, 2025 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, Paphos
Full time
What was the result of Pafos vs Villarreal?
Pafos won 1-0 on November 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 46′D. LuckassenPafos
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pafos have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Villarreal have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | AEL(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 30, 2025 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 1-1 | Super Cup |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Ethnikos Achna(home) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 4-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Ciudad de Lucena(away) | 6-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Valencia(away) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Manchester City(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Real Betis(home) | 2-2 | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Pafos score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Villarreal score 2.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Villarreal | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pafos sit 26th in UEFA Champions League (9 points from 8 matches) and Villarreal sit 35th (1 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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- Nov 4, 2025Juventus1-1Sporting CP
- Nov 4, 2025Atletico Madrid3-1Union St. Gilloise
- Nov 4, 2025Bodo/Glimt0-1Monaco
- Nov 4, 2025Tottenham4-0FC Copenhagen