Villarreal vs Elche: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Elche. The most likely score is 1-1. If Villarreal wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villarreal vs Elche?
Villarreal starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (2,095 vs 1,979).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villarreal vs Elche
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villarreal
4-4-2- 22Ayoze Pérez
- 11Ilias Akhomach
- 17T. Buchanan
- 18P. Gueye
- 10Alberto Moleiro
- 24N. Saliba
- 12Renato Veiga
- 6Pau Navarro
- 23Sergi Cardona
- 3A. Freeman
- 25P. Gulácsi
Elche
4-3-3- 11Germán Valera
- 14Fer Niño
- 21L. Cepeda
- 12Gonzalo Villar
- 47J. Morcillo
- 20Tete Morente
- 23Víctor Chust
- 2Buba Sangaré
- 5F. Redondo
- 3R. Revivo
- 1M. Dituro
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarreal have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Elche have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Levante(home) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Espanyol(away) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Racing Santander(away) | 2-3 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Villarreal wins, 0 draws, 2 Elche wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Villarreal 2-1 Elche | La Liga |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Elche 1-3 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Elche 3-1 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Villarreal 4-0 Elche | La Liga |
| Jan 16, 2022 | Elche 1-0 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Villarreal 4-1 Elche | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Villarreal score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Elche score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Elche | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villarreal sit 9th in La Liga (8 points from 7 matches) and Elche sit 18th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 8 |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 5 |
A question about Villarreal vs Elche?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villarreal vs Elche?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Elche.
- Where and when is Villarreal vs Elche played?
- Villarreal vs Elche is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de la Cerámica, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.