Match

Paide vs Flora Tallinn: prediction and stats

MeistriliigaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Paide linnastaadion, Paide

PaideFlora Tallinn

The Footlab AI model makes Flora Tallinn the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Paide. The most likely score is 1-1. If Flora Tallinn wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,614 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Paide vs Flora Tallinn?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Paide (1,786) and Flora Tallinn (1,763).

31%27%42%
Paide winDrawFlora Tallinn win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Paide vs Flora Tallinn

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Paide

4-3-3
  1. 23J. Palacios
  2. 77D. Luts
  3. 29D. Darboe
  1. 6Daniel Cabral
  2. 10M. Miller
  3. 28O. Hõim
  1. 2M. Lilander
  2. 4Pedro Andrade Drozina
  3. 27N. Baranov
  4. 3Victor Hugo dos Santos de Sá
  1. 12M. Meerits

Flora Tallinn

4-2-3-1
  1. 14T. Varjund
  1. 32V. Kreida
  2. 18R. Valdmets
  3. 67I. Antonov
  4. 8T. Teeväli
  5. 20S. Zenjov
  1. 6R. Veering
  2. 23M. Kolobov
  3. 26S. Tovstik
  4. 24O. Pihela
  1. 33E. Grünvald

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 01:32 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paide have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Flora Tallinn have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Paide
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Vaprus(away)1-0Meistriliiga
Oct 28, 2026Kalju Nomme(home)0-2Meistriliiga
Oct 24, 2026Kuressaare(away)1-0Meistriliiga
Oct 18, 2026Trans Narva(home)2-1Meistriliiga
Oct 14, 2026Tammeka(home)2-1Meistriliiga
Flora Tallinn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 4, 2026Tartu Welco(home)7-2Cup
Nov 1, 2026Trans Narva(home)2-0Meistriliiga
Oct 29, 2026Tallinna Kalev II(home)10-1Cup
Oct 25, 2026Kalju Nomme(away)1-2Meistriliiga
Oct 21, 2026Laagri(away)1-3Meistriliiga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Paide wins, 1 draw, 3 Flora Tallinn wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 30, 2026Flora Tallinn 1-2 PaideMeistriliiga
Jun 21, 2026Flora Tallinn 1-2 PaideMeistriliiga
May 23, 2026Paide 1-5 Flora TallinnCup
Apr 26, 2026Paide 1-2 Flora TallinnMeistriliiga
Feb 20, 2026Paide 1-3 Flora TallinnFriendlies Clubs
Oct 26, 2025Paide 1-1 Flora TallinnMeistriliiga

Last archived meeting: Flora Tallinn vs Paide on Aug 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Paide score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Flora Tallinn score 2.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Paide1.51.148/157/15
Flora Tallinn2.61.8212/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Paide sit 2nd in Meistriliiga (63 points from 35 matches) and Flora Tallinn sit 3rd (58 points from 34 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Paide3519610544163
3Flora Tallinn3419114644958

A question about Paide vs Flora Tallinn?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Paide vs Flora Tallinn?
The Footlab AI model makes Flora Tallinn the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Paide.
Where and when is Paide vs Flora Tallinn played?
Paide vs Flora Tallinn is played on November 7, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Paide linnastaadion, in the Meistriliiga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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