Trans Narva vs Laagri: prediction and stats
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Kalevi Staadion, Narva
The Footlab model makes Laagri the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Trans Narva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trans Narva vs Laagri?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Trans Narva (1,463) and Laagri (1,531).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trans Narva have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Laagri have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(away) | 0-4 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Paide(home) | 1-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kompanii Marjamaa(home) | 8-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(home) | 0-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nõmme United(away) | 2-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(home) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(home) | 1-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Tamper(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kuressaare(away) | 2-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Flora Tallinn(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Trans Narva win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Laagri win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2026 | Laagri 3-0 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
| May 30, 2026 | Laagri 3-0 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Trans Narva 1-2 Laagri | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Laagri 1-0 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Trans Narva 1-3 Laagri | Meistriliiga |
| May 27, 2025 | Trans Narva 4-2 Laagri | Meistriliiga |
Last archived meeting: Laagri vs Trans Narva on Jul 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trans Narva score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Laagri score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trans Narva | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Laagri | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trans Narva sit 10th in Meistriliiga (17 points from 24 matches) and Laagri sit 6th (28 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Laagri | 24 | 9 | 1 | 14 | 34 | 40 | 28 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 18 | 55 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trans Narva vs Laagri?
- The Footlab model makes Laagri the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Trans Narva.
- Where and when is Trans Narva vs Laagri played?
- Trans Narva vs Laagri is played on November 7, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Kalevi Staadion, in the Meistriliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.