Tammeka vs Vaprus: prediction and stats
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Tamme staadion, Tartu
The Footlab AI model makes Tammeka the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Vaprus. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tammeka wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tammeka vs Vaprus?
On Elo ratings, Tammeka has 1,605 points and Vaprus 1,575.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tammeka vs Vaprus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tammeka
4-2-3-1- 23P. Veelma
- 7Thomas Lisboa
- 99M. Hydara
- 10G. Uggeri
- 24H. Pedmanson
- 22T. Lang
- 3Pedro Manoel
- 17J. Amijekori
- 44O. Kangaslahti
- 27Laurits Õunpuu
- 26K. Lapa
Vaprus
3-4-1-2- 8T. Pajo
- 10S. Viidas
- 20H. Välja
- 90J. Sild
- 24Mathias Villota
- 14R. Orm
- 42M. Limberg
- 28M. Lipp
- 15K. Aloe
- 66U. Nomm
- 16O. Nõmm
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tammeka have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Vaprus have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Paide(away) | 1-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Nõmme United(home) | 4-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Viimsi(home) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(home) | 1-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(away) | 0-6 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(home) | 2-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Trans Narva(home) | 2-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Flora Tallinn(away) | 2-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Paide(away) | 0-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(away) | 0-4 | Meistriliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Tammeka wins, 2 draws, 4 Vaprus wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Vaprus 5-1 Tammeka | Meistriliiga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Tammeka 0-0 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Vaprus 0-0 Tammeka | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Tammeka 1-4 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Vaprus 8-1 Tammeka | Meistriliiga |
| May 17, 2025 | Vaprus 2-1 Tammeka | Meistriliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Tammeka score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Vaprus score 1.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tammeka | 1.7 | 1.6 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Vaprus | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tammeka sit 5th in Meistriliiga (47 points from 31 matches) and Vaprus sit 7th (36 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tammeka | 31 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 49 | 47 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 43 | 61 | 36 |
A question about Tammeka vs Vaprus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tammeka vs Vaprus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tammeka the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Vaprus.
- Where and when is Tammeka vs Vaprus played?
- Tammeka vs Vaprus is played on November 7, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Tamme staadion, in the Meistriliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.