Paide vs Trans Narva: result 2-1 and analysis
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on March 5, 2023 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Full time
What was the result of Paide vs Trans Narva?
Paide won 2-1 on March 5, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 18′G. JuhkamPaide
- 26′G. PevtsovTrans Narva
- 58′M. GomisPaide
Official lineup for Paide vs Trans Narva
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Paide
- 11K. Saag
- 27M. Gomis
- 10A. Frolov
- 14R. Saarma
- 28O. Hõim
- 33K. Mööl
- 3K. Pelt
- 5G. Juhkam
- 15H. Ojamaa
- 29J. Saliste
- 99E. Jarju
Trans Narva
- 7D. Tarassenkov
- 10I. Karpenko
- 11G. Pevtsov
- 17A. Škinjov
- 8H. Suárez
- 19I. Elysée
- 77D. Polyakov
- 5A. Kulinitš
- 16S. Kondrattsev
- 18A. Markovic
- 1A. Matrossov
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paide have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Trans Narva have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | Metta / LU(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 7, 2023 | Honka(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 3, 2023 | FC Levadia Tallinn(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Rīgas FS(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SJK(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Kalju Nomme(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 17, 2023 | Tallinna Kalev(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Metta / LU(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Elva(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Kuressaare(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Paide wins, 1 draw, 0 Trans Narva wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2022 | Paide 2-0 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 2, 2022 | Trans Narva 1-1 Paide | Meistriliiga |
| May 18, 2022 | Paide 4-2 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Trans Narva 1-2 Paide | Meistriliiga |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Trans Narva 1-5 Paide | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Paide 4-0 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Paide score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Trans Narva score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paide | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Trans Narva | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paide sit 3rd in Meistriliiga (54 points from 31 matches) and Trans Narva sit 10th (20 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Paide | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | 68 | 20 |
A question about Paide vs Trans Narva?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy