Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr: prediction and stats
AFC Champions League EliteLeague Phase - 4Kick-off on November 2, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC)Paxtakor Markaziy Stadion, Tashkent
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Pakhtakor. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,712 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr?
Al-Nassr starts as the favourite with a 283-point Elo edge (2,104 vs 1,821).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pakhtakor
4-2-3-1- 29Aymen Hussein
- 23Abdurauf Bo'riyev
- 50Flamarion
- 21B. Resan
- 27S. Sobirkho'jaev
- 9I. Ibragimov
- 55M. Abdumajidov
- 8D. Saitov
- 5M. Pouraliganji
- 4Zayed Tahseen
- 35S. Kuvvatov
Al-Nassr
4-2-3-1- 7Cristiano Ronaldo
- 10S. Mané
- 11Samú Costa
- 79João Félix
- 17Abdullah Al Khaibari
- 20Ângelo
- 12Nawaf Boushal
- 26Íñigo Martínez
- 70Awad Aman
- 5Abdulelah Al Amri
- 24Bento
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 01:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pakhtakor have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Al-Nassr have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(away) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Neftchi(home) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Navbahor(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Bunyodkor(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(away) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Neftchi(home) | 3-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al Diriyah(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Al Ain(away) | 0-4 | AFC Champions League Elite |
How many goals should we expect?
Pakhtakor score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Nassr score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pakhtakor | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Al-Nassr | 2.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pakhtakor sit 12th in AFC Champions League Elite (2 points from 3 matches) and Al-Nassr sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al-Nassr | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Pakhtakor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
A question about Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Pakhtakor.
- Where and when is Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr played?
- Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr is played on November 2, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC) at Paxtakor Markaziy Stadion, in the AFC Champions League Elite.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.