Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi: prediction and stats
AFC Champions League EliteLeague Phase - 4Kick-off on November 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Bonyan Diesel Stadium, Tabriz
The Footlab AI model makes Tractor Sazi the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Neftchi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tractor Sazi wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,688 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi?
On Elo ratings, Tractor Sazi has 1,900 points and Neftchi 1,824.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tractor Sazi
5-3-2- 99A. Hosseinzadeh
- 70S. Moghanlou
- 11A. Abdullayev
- 7T. Halilović
- 2M. Shiri
- 3S. Khalilzadeh
- 22M. Naderi
- 33F. Faraji
- 58M. Daneshgar
- 18S. Moharrami
- 81P. Jafari
Neftchi
4-4-1-1- 88M. Forss
- 7A. Ismailov
- 10J. Iskanderov
- 77Ratinho
- 22Alisher Odilov
- 8V. Jovović
- 52K. Kouao
- 4B. Ciger
- 34F. Sayfiyev
- 3Michel
- 1B. Ergashev
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 11:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tractor Sazi have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Neftchi have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Al Ain(away) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Sanat Naft(home) | 3-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Al Shamal(home) | 0-0 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Esteghlal FC(home) | 1-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai(away) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Pakhtakor(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 2-4 | Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Kokand-1912(away) | 4-2 | Super League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 1-3 | AFC Champions League Elite |
How many goals should we expect?
Tractor Sazi score 1.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Neftchi score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tractor Sazi | 1.0 | 0.6 | 9 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Neftchi | 2.1 | 1.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tractor Sazi sit 13th in AFC Champions League Elite (1 point from 3 matches) and Neftchi sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Neftchi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Tractor Sazi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tractor Sazi the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Neftchi.
- Where and when is Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi played?
- Tractor Sazi vs Neftchi is played on November 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Bonyan Diesel Stadium, in the AFC Champions League Elite.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.